Berrettini vs Nadal: prediction for the Australian Open match

Matteo Berrettini vs Rafael Nadal. Prediction and Betting Tips for 2022 Australian Open (January 28, 2022).

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

Italy
28.01.2022
15:30 NZST
Australian Open ATP
Rod Laver Arena
Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal

Spain
Berrettini vs Nadal: prediction for the Australian Open match

Matteo Berrettini takes on Rafael Nadal in the semi-final match of the Australian Open. Who will become the finalist of the major tournament? Look out for our prediction in the article below.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini is in good shape and has managed to get the upper hand over several difficult opponents. The Italian tennis player defeated Carlos Alcaraz Garcia (6-2, 7-6, 4-6, 2-6, 7-6) and Gael Monfils (6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 3-6, 6-2) in five sets. In both cases, Berrettini won the first two sets, but lost focus and allowed the opponents to make a comeback. He also ousted Brandon Nakashima, Stefan Kozlov, and Pablo Carreno Busta in the earlier rounds of the major. 

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal had a tough fight against Denis Shapovalov in the quarter-final match, which is not surprising at all considering the history of matches between these players. Nadal needed five sets to beat the Canadian (6-3, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 3-6). His other opponents were Marcos Giron, Yannick Hanfmann, Karen Khachanov, and Adrian Mannarino - Nadal confidently defeated all of them. 

Betting trends

Tie-break - yes
2.26
bet365.com

Berrettini played 4 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.

1st set: total under 9.5 games
1.82
bet365.com

In 4 of Nadal's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.

Prediction

Nadal has enough experience to beat Berrettini in three sets, like he did at the US Open in 2019. Rafa is in great shape and we are predicting his confident victory in the upcoming match.

Our prediction - total under 40 games

Prediction: Total under 40

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Three years ago, Berrettini lost to Nadal at the US Open. We think that the Spanish tennis player will have enough firepower to defeat Berrettini again, even though now the italian is faster than his eminent counterpart. We will be backing Nadal here.

Second prediction - handicap (-3) to Nadal

Prediction: Handicap (-3) to Nadal

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Betting predictions stat

341Tips
164Win
28Refund
149Losing
-12.36% of revenue
534Tips
238Win
57Refund
239Losing
-3.71% of revenue

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